FHA Reserves Look Shaky – Is Another Bailout Pending?

The Federal Housing Administration (FHA) once considered one of the safest agencies backing mortgage loans now has many worried that its reserves may have dipped below the Congressionally-required level.

The FHA was designed to help first-time homebuyers and those with less-than-perfect credit. During the housing boom, the popularity of FHA loans waned as the standards and documentation requirements remained high and many other loans required few hoops to jump through. In 2006, FHA loans made less than 3 percent of the all U.S. Mortgage loans. As of the second quarter of 2009, the market share has skyrocketed to 23 percent.

This is largely because the FHA did not suffer the same losses as many other lenders and agencies during the housing bust and became one of the last remaining options for new and lower-income buyers.

Yet as its market share has grown, so has its loan delinquency rates. In June 7.8 percent of FHA-backed loans were 90 days late or more, up from 5.4 percent last year at the same time. And because the FHA requires only a 3.5 percent down payment on its loans, as home values have plunged in the past few years, many FHA borrowers are now underwater in their loans. This situation often leads people to walk away from their monthly payments and give in to foreclosure.

The FHA is required to have reserves that are equal to 2 percent of all the loans it insures. As of last year, the reserves were down to 3 percent, a huge drop from the 6.4 percent it had in 2007.

While FHA officials maintain that the agency will not need a government bailout, that doesn’t keep people from worrying about it based on the numbers. The current value of the FHA’s reserves will be made public on September 30 in the agency’s annual review.

ref: blog.mortgage101.com/2009/09/04/fha-reserves-look-shaky-–-is-another-bailout-pending

Why consider refinancing?

The interest rate on your mortgage is tied directly to how much you pay on your mortgage each month--lower rates usually mean lower payments. You may be able to get a lower rate because of changes in the market conditions or because your credit score has improved. A lower interest rate also may allow you to build equity in your home more quickly. 

ref: federalreserve.gov/pubs/refinancings/default.htm

The Winners and Losers of the Housing Crash

To say that the current state of the US housing market is a little shaky would be an understatement. The waves of recent mortgage statistics are at best conflicting and in many cases misleading as to the true nature of the property economy. Some experts are clinging to the fact that a recent boom in first time buyers being accepted for mortgages (in light of the $8000 tax credit) is a sign that the industry has turned a corner. Others, meanwhile, see the glimmer of hope as more of a mirage in a still arid housing landscape. Indeed, recent reports show that the Philadelphia Housing Market Index has fallen to its major support level of 225; Toll Brothers (a major US luxury home builder) has seen a 33% drop in order during the second quarter and mortgage lender Ameriquest is downsizing and laying off 3500 workers.

Wealthy Housing Opportunities

In the wake of this uncertain housing climate there has risen a sharp contrast between the poorest and the wealthiest people in the country. The current situation has provided a stark reminder of the money gap between the haves and the have-nots in America. Moreover, where one demographic sees opportunity the other sees long-term financial uncertainty. The old saying “one man’s trash is another man’s treasure” is particularly pertinent at the moment as the rich are seeing the drop in house prices as a chance to increase their portfolios. One of America’s most exclusive housing markets, the Hamptons, felt the bite of the recession more than most with the uptake on many multimillion dollar Long Island properties being extremely low. In recent months though, high-end real estate developers have seen a sharp rise in sales as the price of housing has fallen. Alan Schurman, a real estate developer, points out that those that can afford the million dollar price tags “made a decision that the market hit a point and was forming a bottom. Now they want to get in on the values that are out there.”

Luxury property prices have been slashed by around 20% in the area and this has attracted a glut of buyers back to the area keen to snap up a bargain ready for when the market begins to rejuvenate itself. This flood of multimillion dollar spending provides a striking juxtaposition to the financial difficulties facing many “average income” homes. Across the country the rate of foreclosures has risen and more and more homes are seeking the help of programs like the one in operation in Louisville, designed to be the final lifeline for those facing foreclosure. The number of people struggling to make their mortgage repayments has risen to over 13% and more than 4% of all borrowers are in foreclosure. The rising jobless figures are the major contributing factor to the situation, and while government incentives such as the $8000 tax refund are aiming to help the average buy, the problem is continuing to escalate.

The Great Divide

In times of financial crisis the wealth divide is always more prevalent, and while Middle America struggles to retain possession of its homes; the wealthy can’t wait to expand theirs. Nobody is clear just how much longer the current economic climate will last and for the average American the future isn’t looking like a bed of roses. Recent reports over whether the situation is improving or not is much like the discrepancy between those at the top and bottom of the housing chain; on the one hand someone is a winner but on the other, someone always ends up a loser.

ref: blog.mortgage101.com/2009/09/09/the-winners-and-losers-of-the-housing-crash

Have We Just Shifted the Mortgage Debt Burden?

A recent Washington Post article brings up how deeply involved the Federal government has become in the current housing market. In order to keep the mortgage markets from freezing up during the dire days of the housing crash, the government stepped in and took over Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, two of the nation’s largest mortgage financiers.

“While this made it possible for many borrowers to keep getting loans and helped protect the housing market from further damage, the government’s newly dominant role - nearly 90 percent of all new home loans are funded or guaranteed by taxpayers - has far-reaching consequences for prospective home buyers and taxpayers,” the article says.

And together with guarantees made by the Federal Housing Administration, “The [government] outlay has already reached about $1 trillion over the past year and is rising. During that time, the government has pumped more money into the mortgage market than has been spent on Medicare or Social Security or the defense budget, more even than Washington has paid to bail out banks and other struggling companies.”

And with Treasury and Federal Reserve programs, “all told, the government now stands behind 86 percent of all new home loans, up from about 30 percent just four years ago, according to Inside Mortgage Finance.”

Among the biggest concerns about the government takeover of all these loan guarantees is that many of the loans are looking ripe for default and foreclosure. Fannie and Freddie have lost more than $150 billion since the beginning of 2008 and FHA loan delinquencies are also rising. So, instead of truly curtailing housing market problems, have we simply shifted the responsibility from individual homeowners, lenders, and companies to the American public (taxpayers) at large? So we all go down together instead of just one industry? Or will the Fed just print up some more money to continue bailing out the housing market if things really go south?

ref:  blog.mortgage101.com/2009/09/09/have-we-just-shifted-the-mortgage-debt-burden

FDIC Pleads Case for Unemployed Homeowners

At least one government agency is trying to save a sizable segment of homeowners from foreclosure – the unemployed. While plenty of people are simply walking away from their mortgages because their loans are underwater, there are also plenty of Americans unable to make their payments as a result of job loss during this tough economy.

The FDIC, according to a CNN report, has asked several big banks to start reducing monthly payments for six months for those homeowners who have recently lost jobs.

Apparently, this practice called forbearance plans, has been used by banks in the past, but fewer are willing to extend a compassionate reach these days as it is not as likely that borrowers will be able to get back into the job market within a matter of months.

“With more Americans suffering through unemployment or cuts in their paychecks, we believe it is crucial to offer a helping hand to avoid unnecessary and costly foreclosures,” said FDIC chairman, Sheila Bair, on Friday.

Currently, unemployed homeowners facing foreclosure do not qualify for loan modifications under the Obama housing bailout because they cannot provide sufficient income for future payments.

The FDIC believes that aiding these normally responsible borrowers will keep the fragile and recovering housing market from more downturns.  At this point, the forbearance plan recommendation will only be required of the 53 lending institutions across the country that have bought failed banks and have contracts with the FDIC. The effect will certainly be limited, but the FDIC hopes that more major lenders nationwide will see the benefit and voluntarily participate.

I have to admit, this seems like the segment of borrowers that truly need (or perhaps deserve) some extra help. I would think that in many cases these are not the homeowners that took on mortgage loans they never could afford, but simply fell prey to the vicious economy and need a little breathing room to get back on their feet.  Since this isn’t a true bailout, but simply payment deferment, it seems like a pretty good idea.

ref: blog.mortgage101.com/2009/09/11/fdic-pleads-case-of-unemployed-homeowners

The Winners and Losers of the Housing Crash

To say that the current state of the US housing market is a little shaky would be an understatement. The waves of recent mortgage statistics are at best conflicting and in many cases misleading as to the true nature of the property economy. Some experts are clinging to the fact that a recent boom in first time buyers being accepted for mortgages (in light of the $8000 tax credit) is a sign that the industry has turned a corner. Others, meanwhile, see the glimmer of hope as more of a mirage in a still arid housing landscape. Indeed, recent reports show that the Philadelphia Housing Market Index has fallen to its major support level of 225; Toll Brothers (a major US luxury home builder) has seen a 33% drop in order during the second quarter and mortgage lender Ameriquest is downsizing and laying off 3500 workers.

Wealthy Housing Opportunities

In the wake of this uncertain housing climate there has risen a sharp contrast between the poorest and the wealthiest people in the country. The current situation has provided a stark reminder of the money gap between the haves and the have-nots in America. Moreover, where one demographic sees opportunity the other sees long-term financial uncertainty. The old saying “one man’s trash is another man’s treasure” is particularly pertinent at the moment as the rich are seeing the drop in house prices as a chance to increase their portfolios. One of America’s most exclusive housing markets, the Hamptons, felt the bite of the recession more than most with the uptake on many multimillion dollar Long Island properties being extremely low. In recent months though, high-end real estate developers have seen a sharp rise in sales as the price of housing has fallen. Alan Schurman, a real estate developer, points out that those that can afford the million dollar price tags “made a decision that the market hit a point and was forming a bottom. Now they want to get in on the values that are out there.”

Luxury property prices have been slashed by around 20% in the area and this has attracted a glut of buyers back to the area keen to snap up a bargain ready for when the market begins to rejuvenate itself. This flood of multimillion dollar spending provides a striking juxtaposition to the financial difficulties facing many “average income” homes. Across the country the rate of foreclosures has risen and more and more homes are seeking the help of programs like the one in operation in Louisville, designed to be the final lifeline for those facing foreclosure. The number of people struggling to make their mortgage repayments has risen to over 13% and more than 4% of all borrowers are in foreclosure. The rising jobless figures are the major contributing factor to the situation, and while government incentives such as the $8000 tax refund are aiming to help the average buy, the problem is continuing to escalate.

The Great Divide

In times of financial crisis the wealth divide is always more prevalent, and while Middle America struggles to retain possession of its homes; the wealthy can’t wait to expand theirs. Nobody is clear just how much longer the current economic climate will last and for the average American the future isn’t looking like a bed of roses. Recent reports over whether the situation is improving or not is much like the discrepancy between those at the top and bottom of the housing chain; on the one hand someone is a winner but on the other, someone always ends up a loser.

ref: blog.mortgage101.com/2009/09/09/the-winners-and-losers-of-the-housing-crash